TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 10:38 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Mario Arce Fernandez and Thomas Miranda in the M15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mario Arce Fernandez' if Mario Arce Fernandez advances against Thomas Miranda. This market will resolve to 'Thomas Miranda' if Thomas Miranda advances against Mario Arce Fernandez. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Mario Arce Fernandez and Thomas Miranda in the M15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mario Arce Fernandez' if Mario Arce Fernandez advances against Thomas Miranda. This market will resolve to 'Thomas Miranda' if Thomas Miranda advances against Mario Arce Fernandez. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Monastir tennis match between Mario Arce Fernandez and Thomas Miranda. The platform will verify the result against widely available sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final share price at resolution, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence trading activity and move this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes to playing conditions could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players, or broader shifts in tennis rankings, could also cause traders to reassess their positions. Major betting movements in traditional sportsbooks might also prompt activity on Polymarket as traders attempt to capitalize on perceived discrepancies. Ultimately, any information that alters the assessment of each player’s chances of winning will likely move this market.