TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 8:04 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Mario Arce Fernandez and Rocco Piatti in the M15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mario Arce Fernandez' if Mario Arce Fernandez advances against Rocco Piatti. This market will resolve to 'Rocco Piatti' if Rocco Piatti advances against Mario Arce Fernandez. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Mario Arce Fernandez and Rocco Piatti in the M15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mario Arce Fernandez' if Mario Arce Fernandez advances against Rocco Piatti. This market will resolve to 'Rocco Piatti' if Rocco Piatti advances against Mario Arce Fernandez. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the views of many individuals with varying levels of knowledge. Often, you'll find that prediction market probabilities align with sportsbook odds, but divergences can occur, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. It's valuable to compare both to form a well-rounded assessment of the likely outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Monastir tennis match between Mario Arce Fernandez and Rocco Piatti. The platform will verify the winner against established tennis authorities and publicly available match results. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final share price at the time of resolution, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before resolution. Any news regarding the players' form, injury status, or recent performance could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected weather conditions at the tournament location or changes in the playing surface could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, major upsets in other matches within the tournament might lead to a reassessment of the players' chances. Publicly available analysis from tennis experts and any significant betting activity observed elsewhere could also contribute to price movements in this market.