TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 1:47 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Mario Arce Fernandez and Elias Wagner in the M15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mario Arce Fernandez' if Mario Arce Fernandez advances against Elias Wagner. This market will resolve to 'Elias Wagner' if Elias Wagner advances against Mario Arce Fernandez. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Mario Arce Fernandez and Elias Wagner in the M15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mario Arce Fernandez' if Mario Arce Fernandez advances against Elias Wagner. This market will resolve to 'Elias Wagner' if Elias Wagner advances against Mario Arce Fernandez. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Monastir match between Mario Arce Fernandez and Elias Wagner. The platform will rely on established sports news sources and official tournament records to determine the winner and finalize the market. The outcome will be determined by the official result declared by the tournament organizers.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 18, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updated match previews could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or player form could also lead to price adjustments. Furthermore, significant trading activity from large players on Polymarket could create momentum and influence the overall market direction. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential shifts in the odds for the Arce Fernandez vs Wagner match.