TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 10:41 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between LUCCA LIU and Leander Tauber in the M15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'LUCCA LIU' if LUCCA LIU advances against Leander Tauber. This market will resolve to 'Leander Tauber' if Leander Tauber advances against LUCCA LIU. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between LUCCA LIU and Leander Tauber in the M15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'LUCCA LIU' if LUCCA LIU advances against Leander Tauber. This market will resolve to 'Leander Tauber' if Leander Tauber advances against LUCCA LIU. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market’s prices are driven purely by supply and demand from traders who are incentivized to be accurate. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook odds, it may indicate that the crowd believes the sportsbook has mispriced the event. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities as perceived by different groups.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the LUCCA LIU vs Leander Tauber match in Monastir. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be paid out according to their share holdings at the time of resolution, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their shares.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions in Monastir, or even a significant upset in another match involving either player, could also impact the market. Additionally, large trades by influential market participants could cause short-term price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves leading up to the match’s conclusion.