TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 9:04 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Luca Wiedenmann and Leo Borg in the M15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Luca Wiedenmann' if Luca Wiedenmann advances against Leo Borg. This market will resolve to 'Leo Borg' if Leo Borg advances against Luca Wiedenmann. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Luca Wiedenmann and Leo Borg in the M15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Luca Wiedenmann' if Luca Wiedenmann advances against Leo Borg. This market will resolve to 'Leo Borg' if Leo Borg advances against Luca Wiedenmann. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market is driven purely by traders expressing their beliefs. If there’s a significant discrepancy, it could indicate that the market perceives information differently than sportsbooks, or that one venue has more informed traders. It's common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information, as they are continuously updated by a large number of participants.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price fluctuates based on supply and demand; if more people believe an outcome is likely, the price of shares representing that outcome will increase. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of the traders.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Wiedenmann vs Borg match, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event result. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the final outcome of the match.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries to either Luca Wiedenmann or Leo Borg, or changes in playing conditions could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players, or even broader trends in tennis performance, might also play a role. Furthermore, significant trading volume from well-informed traders could indicate new information entering the market, causing a rapid price adjustment. Monitoring these signals is key to understanding potential market movements.