TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 21, 10:08 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Louis Allen and Lars Goran Verwerft in the M15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Louis Allen' if Louis Allen advances against Lars Goran Verwerft. This market will resolve to 'Lars Goran Verwerft' if Lars Goran Verwerft advances against Louis Allen. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Louis Allen and Lars Goran Verwerft in the M15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Louis Allen' if Louis Allen advances against Lars Goran Verwerft. This market will resolve to 'Lars Goran Verwerft' if Lars Goran Verwerft advances against Louis Allen. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe in a particular outcome, the higher the price of its corresponding shares will climb. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date collective assessment of the Monastir tennis match’s likely result, based on available information and trader sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Monastir tennis match between Louis Allen and Lars Goran Verwerft. The platform will rely on widely accepted sources to determine the winner, ensuring a transparent and objective resolution process. Traders should monitor official tournament websites and sports news outlets for the final result, as this will be the basis for determining payouts in this market.
Several signals could significantly impact this market before Oct 28, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (like weather or court surface), or updates on player form could all influence trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving either player might also shift expectations. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket could indicate informed opinions and trigger price movements. Monitoring sports news, social media, and the trading volume on the platform itself will be crucial for understanding potential catalysts for change in this market.