TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 23, 8:54 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Liam Gavrielides and Simone Massellani in the M15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 23, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Liam Gavrielides' if Liam Gavrielides advances against Simone Massellani. This market will resolve to 'Simone Massellani' if Simone Massellani advances against Liam Gavrielides. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Liam Gavrielides and Simone Massellani in the M15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 23, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Liam Gavrielides' if Liam Gavrielides advances against Simone Massellani. This market will resolve to 'Simone Massellani' if Simone Massellani advances against Liam Gavrielides. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. Differences can arise due to varying levels of information, biases, or simply differing interpretations of the same data. It's possible to find discrepancies between the implied probabilities on Polymarket and those offered by sportsbooks, presenting opportunities for informed traders.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. As more shares are traded, the price of those shares adjusts, reflecting the collective sentiment of the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. Higher demand for shares in a particular player will drive up the price, indicating greater confidence in their victory.
This market resolves around Oct 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Monastir tennis match between Liam Gavrielides and Simone Massellani. The winner as declared by the official tournament organizers will determine the winning outcome in this market. Any disputes regarding the official result will be addressed based on publicly available information and established tournament rules.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. News regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player strategies or coaching changes might also impact the odds. Furthermore, any significant shifts in public opinion, as reflected in betting patterns or expert analysis, could lead to price movements on Polymarket. Monitoring these signals can help you understand the potential direction of this market.