TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 1:59 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Lemuel Cassidy and Thomas Miranda in the M15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lemuel Cassidy' if Lemuel Cassidy advances against Thomas Miranda. This market will resolve to 'Thomas Miranda' if Thomas Miranda advances against Lemuel Cassidy. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Lemuel Cassidy and Thomas Miranda in the M15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lemuel Cassidy' if Lemuel Cassidy advances against Thomas Miranda. This market will resolve to 'Thomas Miranda' if Thomas Miranda advances against Lemuel Cassidy. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price indicates the market’s expectation of the match result, and traders can profit if their prediction proves more accurate than the collective wisdom reflected in the share price.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be based on the official result of the M15 Monastir match between Lemuel Cassidy and Thomas Miranda. The platform will verify the outcome against publicly available sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual result. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the final result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or significant performance updates for either Lemuel Cassidy or Thomas Miranda could shift market sentiment. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or team dynamics could also play a role. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could indicate new information or a change in expectations, potentially causing a significant price movement in this market.