TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 1:37 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Leandro Zgraggen and Lars Schmassmann in the M15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Leandro Zgraggen' if Leandro Zgraggen advances against Lars Schmassmann. This market will resolve to 'Lars Schmassmann' if Lars Schmassmann advances against Leandro Zgraggen. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Leandro Zgraggen and Lars Schmassmann in the M15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Leandro Zgraggen' if Leandro Zgraggen advances against Lars Schmassmann. This market will resolve to 'Lars Schmassmann' if Lars Schmassmann advances against Leandro Zgraggen. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Monastir tennis match. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of each player winning. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. This creates a dynamic pricing system that constantly adjusts based on the collective intelligence of the market participants. The current top outcome, as indicated by the price, is heavily favored.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Leandro Zgraggen versus Lars Schmassmann tennis match in Monastir. The platform will verify the winner based on publicly available sources, such as official tournament websites and sports news outlets. Traders will then be paid out based on the final outcome and their holdings in the corresponding shares. It’s important to monitor the event’s progress leading up to this date.
Several signals could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could shift the odds. Unexpected upsets in other matches within the tournament might also affect perceptions of player momentum. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could indicate new information or a change in sentiment. Even social media discussions and expert analysis could contribute to price movements. Monitoring these factors will be key to understanding how this market evolves before it resolves.