TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 8:08 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Kris van Wyk and Alessandro Maina in the M15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kris van Wyk' if Kris van Wyk advances against Alessandro Maina. This market will resolve to 'Alessandro Maina' if Alessandro Maina advances against Kris van Wyk. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Kris van Wyk and Alessandro Maina in the M15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kris van Wyk' if Kris van Wyk advances against Alessandro Maina. This market will resolve to 'Alessandro Maina' if Alessandro Maina advances against Kris van Wyk. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set their lines based on models and internal analysis, while this market represents the collective beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook has mispriced an outcome, they can take the opposite position in this market, driving the odds closer to what they perceive as the true probability. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before a lot of money has been traded.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. As more shares are traded, the price adjusts to reflect the supply and demand. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. Higher demand for shares in a specific player will drive up the price, indicating a greater perceived chance of victory.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be based on the official result of the Monastir tennis match between Kris van Wyk and Alessandro Maina. Once the official results are available, Polymarket will verify the outcome and settle the market accordingly. The resolution will reflect which player ultimately won the match.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even updates on their recent performance could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players could also impact the market. Furthermore, large trades by influential traders on Polymarket can create short-term price movements. Monitoring tennis news and observing trading activity on Polymarket are key to understanding potential shifts in this market.