TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 23, 10:13 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Kasra Rahmani and Nazim Makhlouf in the M15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 23, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kasra Rahmani' if Kasra Rahmani advances against Nazim Makhlouf. This market will resolve to 'Nazim Makhlouf' if Nazim Makhlouf advances against Kasra Rahmani. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Kasra Rahmani and Nazim Makhlouf in the M15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 23, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kasra Rahmani' if Kasra Rahmani advances against Nazim Makhlouf. This market will resolve to 'Nazim Makhlouf' if Nazim Makhlouf advances against Kasra Rahmani. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on statistical models and their own risk assessment, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individuals. If there's a significant difference between the two, it could indicate that prediction market traders believe the sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular outcome in the Monastir tennis match. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information or interpretations.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where users buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and share their views, the price adjusts to represent the collective forecast. The market's price movements are driven by supply and demand, influenced by news, analysis, and any other information traders deem relevant to the Monastir tennis match.
This market resolves around Oct 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Kasra Rahmani versus Nazim Makhlouf tennis match in Monastir. The platform will verify the winner of the match against widely available and trusted sources to determine the winning outcome for this market. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final result.
Several factors could influence trading activity and move this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries to either Kasra Rahmani or Nazim Makhlouf, or changes in playing conditions could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or even general shifts in tennis betting sentiment, could also drive price movements. Ultimately, any information that alters the assessment of either player’s chances of winning the Monastir tennis match has the potential to shift the market.