TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 6:28 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Jules Fabre and Ilya Mosolkin in the M15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jules Fabre' if Jules Fabre advances against Ilya Mosolkin. This market will resolve to 'Ilya Mosolkin' if Ilya Mosolkin advances against Jules Fabre. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Jules Fabre and Ilya Mosolkin in the M15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jules Fabre' if Jules Fabre advances against Ilya Mosolkin. This market will resolve to 'Ilya Mosolkin' if Ilya Mosolkin advances against Jules Fabre. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price reflects the collective intelligence of the traders participating, and it dynamically adjusts as new information becomes available. This creates a constantly updated forecast for the Monastir tennis match.
This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Jules Fabre versus Ilya Mosolkin tennis match in Monastir. The platform will verify the results against trusted sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders who held shares in the correct outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment. This ensures a transparent and objective resolution process.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches featuring these players could also impact perceptions of their relative strengths. Furthermore, significant betting activity or analysis from tennis experts could sway the market. Even weather forecasts for Monastir could play a role, as conditions may favor one player's style over another. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding potential price movements.