TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 1:40 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Juan Ignacio Lombisano and Kylian Collignon in the M15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Juan Ignacio Lombisano' if Juan Ignacio Lombisano advances against Kylian Collignon. This market will resolve to 'Kylian Collignon' if Kylian Collignon advances against Juan Ignacio Lombisano. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Juan Ignacio Lombisano and Kylian Collignon in the M15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Juan Ignacio Lombisano' if Juan Ignacio Lombisano advances against Kylian Collignon. This market will resolve to 'Kylian Collignon' if Kylian Collignon advances against Juan Ignacio Lombisano. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on their own analysis, while this market’s odds are determined by traders actively expressing their beliefs. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, particularly before significant events or when new information emerges. Comparing these odds can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making, though it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities based on different methodologies.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of a particular outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, reflecting growing confidence. Conversely, selling pressure drives the price down. This dynamic creates a market-driven assessment of the likely winner of the Monastir tennis match.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Juan Ignacio Lombisano versus Kylian Collignon match in Monastir. The platform will verify the winner against reliable sources to determine the winning shares and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official tournament results to understand when the market is considered settled.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. News regarding player form, injury reports, or even weather conditions at the tournament could all impact trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches within the tournament might also lead to reassessments of player capabilities. Furthermore, any significant betting activity or analysis from tennis experts could drive changes in the price of shares, reflecting evolving expectations about the likely outcome of the Monastir tennis match.