TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 9, 9:01 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between John Echeverria and Luca Wiedenmann in the M15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'John Echeverria' if John Echeverria advances against Luca Wiedenmann. This market will resolve to 'Luca Wiedenmann' if Luca Wiedenmann advances against John Echeverria. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between John Echeverria and Luca Wiedenmann in the M15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'John Echeverria' if John Echeverria advances against Luca Wiedenmann. This market will resolve to 'Luca Wiedenmann' if Luca Wiedenmann advances against John Echeverria. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market’s prices are driven by traders directly expressing their beliefs about the probability of each player winning. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply variations in how each assesses the players’ chances. It’s common to see prediction markets more accurately forecast outcomes, especially when a significant amount of volume is traded.
This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Monastir tennis match between John Echeverria and Luca Wiedenmann, as determined by the tournament organizers. The winning player will be the outcome deemed to have occurred, and shares will be settled accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand when the market will be finalized.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could shift expectations. Unexpected upsets in other matches featuring these players, or broader tournament results, might also impact trading activity. Additionally, large volume trades from informed participants could trigger price movements. Monitoring tennis news and observing trading volume on Polymarket will provide insights into potential catalysts that could move this market before Oct 16, 2026.