TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 7:19 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Jan-Niklas Buchwald and Josh Manuel in the M15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jan-Niklas Buchwald' if Jan-Niklas Buchwald advances against Josh Manuel. This market will resolve to 'Josh Manuel' if Josh Manuel advances against Jan-Niklas Buchwald. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Jan-Niklas Buchwald and Josh Manuel in the M15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jan-Niklas Buchwald' if Jan-Niklas Buchwald advances against Josh Manuel. This market will resolve to 'Josh Manuel' if Josh Manuel advances against Jan-Niklas Buchwald. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, ensuring a profit margin, while this market allows traders to directly assess probabilities. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public opinion strongly diverges from expert analysis. It’s common to see this market incorporate information from a wider range of sources, including specialized analysis and real-time updates, potentially offering a more nuanced view than standard betting lines. Examining both can be a valuable exercise for informed decision-making.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Monastir match between Jan-Niklas Buchwald and Josh Manuel. The platform will verify the result against reliable sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders who held shares in the correct outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution. Keep an eye on official announcements regarding the match to stay informed.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before Oct 11, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in strategy for either Jan-Niklas Buchwald or Josh Manuel could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also cause fluctuations. Furthermore, general shifts in public opinion or the release of expert analysis could drive trading activity and change the implied probabilities. Monitoring tennis news and social media discussions will be key to understanding potential catalysts for price movement.