TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 4:50 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Jan-Niklas Buchwald and Fnu Nidunjianzan in the M15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jan-Niklas Buchwald' if Jan-Niklas Buchwald advances against Fnu Nidunjianzan. This market will resolve to 'Fnu Nidunjianzan' if Fnu Nidunjianzan advances against Jan-Niklas Buchwald. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Jan-Niklas Buchwald and Fnu Nidunjianzan in the M15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jan-Niklas Buchwald' if Jan-Niklas Buchwald advances against Fnu Nidunjianzan. This market will resolve to 'Fnu Nidunjianzan' if Fnu Nidunjianzan advances against Jan-Niklas Buchwald. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe a particular player will win, the higher the price of shares representing that player’s victory will climb. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the collective intelligence of those trading on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Monastir tennis match, determining which player emerged victorious. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders who correctly predicted the winner will receive a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution, while those who bet on the losing player will forfeit their shares.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before the Monastir tennis match concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (like weather), or updates on player form could significantly shift market sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players could also impact perceptions of their relative strengths. Even social media buzz or expert commentary could contribute to price movements as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions about the likely winner of this contest.