TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$260,393,102
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,894,304,386
408,643
Markets across
39,771
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,493
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 8, 10:01 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Isaac Nortey and Luca Wiedenmann in the M15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 8, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Isaac Nortey' if Isaac Nortey advances against Luca Wiedenmann. This market will resolve to 'Luca Wiedenmann' if Luca Wiedenmann advances against Isaac Nortey. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Isaac Nortey and Luca Wiedenmann in the M15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 8, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Isaac Nortey' if Isaac Nortey advances against Luca Wiedenmann. This market will resolve to 'Luca Wiedenmann' if Luca Wiedenmann advances against Isaac Nortey. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before a significant amount of trading occurs. These differences can arise from varying levels of information, biases, or simply differing interpretations of the players' form and potential. Examining both sources can provide a more comprehensive understanding of the expected outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Monastir tennis match between Isaac Nortey and Luca Wiedenmann. Specifically, the market will settle based on which player is declared the winner by the official tournament organizers. Any potential disputes or challenges to the official result will be considered according to the platform's standard resolution procedures, ensuring a fair and transparent outcome for all traders.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. News regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even unexpected weather forecasts could all trigger significant movement. Strong performances by either player in preceding matches, or any analysis suggesting a shift in their form, could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, large trades placed by influential market participants could create momentum and drive price changes. Monitoring these signals and staying informed about the players and the tournament will be key to understanding potential shifts in this market.