TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 19, 2:47 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Hanlin Liu and Leo Deflandre in the M15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Hanlin Liu' if Hanlin Liu advances against Leo Deflandre. This market will resolve to 'Leo Deflandre' if Leo Deflandre advances against Hanlin Liu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Hanlin Liu and Leo Deflandre in the M15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Hanlin Liu' if Hanlin Liu advances against Leo Deflandre. This market will resolve to 'Leo Deflandre' if Leo Deflandre advances against Hanlin Liu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Hanlin Liu vs Leo Deflandre match. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price fluctuates based on supply and demand, meaning that if more people believe Hanlin Liu will win, the price of shares representing that outcome will increase, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date collective prediction.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Hanlin Liu vs Leo Deflandre match as reported by recognized tennis authorities. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts to those who correctly predicted the result. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 26, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or significant shifts in player form could cause the odds to move. Unexpected announcements about player strategies or coaching changes might also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, large volume trades on Polymarket can create short-term price fluctuations, and broader tennis news or upsets in related tournaments could indirectly affect the market’s pricing. Keeping abreast of these developments is crucial for informed trading.