TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 29, 10:26 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Giovanni Ciocca and Lilian Marmousez in the M15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 29, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Giovanni Ciocca' if Giovanni Ciocca advances against Lilian Marmousez. This market will resolve to 'Lilian Marmousez' if Lilian Marmousez advances against Giovanni Ciocca. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Giovanni Ciocca and Lilian Marmousez in the M15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 29, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Giovanni Ciocca' if Giovanni Ciocca advances against Lilian Marmousez. This market will resolve to 'Lilian Marmousez' if Lilian Marmousez advances against Giovanni Ciocca. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which may be influenced by factors like house bias or initial line setting. Sportsbooks typically set odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information or interpretations. If a significant difference exists, it could indicate that market participants possess unique insights not fully captured by traditional oddsmakers. Examining these differences can be a valuable exercise for informed decision-making.
This market resolves around Nov 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Giovanni Ciocca versus Lilian Marmousez match as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to determine the winning outcome. Traders will be able to claim their winnings based on the final, official result of the match. This ensures a transparent and verifiable resolution process.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players might also impact market sentiment. Furthermore, major shifts in public opinion, perhaps driven by expert analysis or social media discussion, could lead to increased trading volume and price adjustments. Even seemingly minor developments, such as weather forecasts affecting court conditions, could introduce new information and move the market.