TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 1:38 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Gilberto Ravasio and Gryffin Minor in the M15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gilberto Ravasio' if Gilberto Ravasio advances against Gryffin Minor. This market will resolve to 'Gryffin Minor' if Gryffin Minor advances against Gilberto Ravasio. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Gilberto Ravasio and Gryffin Minor in the M15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gilberto Ravasio' if Gilberto Ravasio advances against Gryffin Minor. This market will resolve to 'Gryffin Minor' if Gryffin Minor advances against Gilberto Ravasio. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief in the outcome of the Monastir tennis match. The price of each contract reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event. The platform uses a constant product market maker model, meaning that the product of the liquidity for each outcome remains constant, influencing price movements based on trading activity. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market remains responsive to new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Monastir tennis match between Gilberto Ravasio and Gryffin Minor. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders who correctly predicted the result will be paid out according to the final market prices, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their stake. The platform ensures a transparent and reliable resolution process.
Several signals could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players, or broader shifts in tennis rankings, might also impact the market. Additionally, large trading volume from informed participants could indicate a change in expectations. Publicly released analysis from tennis experts or major sports news outlets could also contribute to price movements, as traders incorporate new information into their predictions.