TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 12:52 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Gilberto Ravasio and Bercel Sandor Takacs in the M15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gilberto Ravasio' if Gilberto Ravasio advances against Bercel Sandor Takacs. This market will resolve to 'Bercel Sandor Takacs' if Bercel Sandor Takacs advances against Gilberto Ravasio. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Gilberto Ravasio and Bercel Sandor Takacs in the M15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gilberto Ravasio' if Gilberto Ravasio advances against Bercel Sandor Takacs. This market will resolve to 'Bercel Sandor Takacs' if Bercel Sandor Takacs advances against Gilberto Ravasio. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on expert analysis and incorporate a profit margin, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs. If a significant discrepancy exists between prediction market probabilities and sportsbook odds, it could indicate that the market perceives information differently or that one venue has a more accurate assessment of the event's likely outcome. It’s important to remember that both represent probabilities of the same event, but are derived through different mechanisms.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where users buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and the probability of that outcome rises accordingly. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price is entirely driven by supply and demand, meaning it’s a direct expression of collective prediction.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Monastir tennis match between Gilberto Ravasio and Bercel Sandor Takacs, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the final score and determine the winning outcome based on this publicly available information. Traders holding shares in the correct outcome will be entitled to a payout.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches featuring these players could also impact expectations. Furthermore, significant betting activity in traditional sportsbooks might draw attention to this market and influence trading decisions. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of either player winning is likely to move the market price before Oct 13, 2026.