TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 9:11 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Frederic Schlossmann and Victor Ryden in the M15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Frederic Schlossmann' if Frederic Schlossmann advances against Victor Ryden. This market will resolve to 'Victor Ryden' if Victor Ryden advances against Frederic Schlossmann. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Frederic Schlossmann and Victor Ryden in the M15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Frederic Schlossmann' if Frederic Schlossmann advances against Victor Ryden. This market will resolve to 'Victor Ryden' if Victor Ryden advances against Frederic Schlossmann. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs, leading to odds that can sometimes be more accurate or identify different probabilities than those offered by sportsbooks. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources or varying levels of expertise among market participants.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Monastir tennis match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, directly reflecting the collective prediction of the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The closer the event gets, the more volatile the price may become as new information emerges and opinions shift. The current price represents the market's assessment of the probability of a particular outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the officially reported result of the Frederic Schlossmann vs Victor Ryden tennis match in Monastir. The platform will verify the winner based on authoritative sources covering the tournament, ensuring a transparent and accurate determination of the market’s outcome. Traders will be able to claim their winnings once the resolution is finalized and confirmed.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, potential injuries to either Frederic Schlossmann or Victor Ryden, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches within the tournament might also affect perceptions of player momentum. Furthermore, any publicly available analysis from tennis experts or updated betting odds from sportsbooks could introduce new information and trigger price movements in this market.