TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 12:13 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Fnu Nidunjianzan and Giovanni Ciocca in the M15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Fnu Nidunjianzan' if Fnu Nidunjianzan advances against Giovanni Ciocca. This market will resolve to 'Giovanni Ciocca' if Giovanni Ciocca advances against Fnu Nidunjianzan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Fnu Nidunjianzan and Giovanni Ciocca in the M15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Fnu Nidunjianzan' if Fnu Nidunjianzan advances against Giovanni Ciocca. This market will resolve to 'Giovanni Ciocca' if Giovanni Ciocca advances against Fnu Nidunjianzan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamics of supply and demand within the prediction market. Analyzing these differences can provide valuable insights into where the crowd believes the true probability lies for the Monastir tennis match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different outcomes of the Monastir tennis match. The price of each share reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. The current price movements indicate how traders are reacting to news and analysis surrounding the players involved.
This market resolves around Nov 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Fnu Nidunjianzan versus Giovanni Ciocca tennis match in Monastir. The platform will rely on established tennis authorities to verify the winner and determine the final outcome of this market. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the settled result.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movement in this market. News regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updated match analysis from tennis experts could all impact trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players, or even broader trends in tennis performance, could also shift the odds. Any significant information released before Nov 4, 2026 has the potential to move this market, as traders adjust their predictions based on the latest developments.