TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 8:54 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Ferdinand Livet Novkirichka and Kasra Rahmani in the M15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ferdinand Livet Novkirichka' if Ferdinand Livet Novkirichka advances against Kasra Rahmani. This market will resolve to 'Kasra Rahmani' if Kasra Rahmani advances against Ferdinand Livet Novkirichka. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Ferdinand Livet Novkirichka and Kasra Rahmani in the M15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ferdinand Livet Novkirichka' if Ferdinand Livet Novkirichka advances against Kasra Rahmani. This market will resolve to 'Kasra Rahmani' if Kasra Rahmani advances against Ferdinand Livet Novkirichka. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook has mispriced an outcome, they can express that view through trading activity, causing the prediction market odds to diverge. It’s common to see differences, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts, offering an alternative perspective on the likely result.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher perceived chance of success. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price dynamically adjusts based on supply and demand, providing a real-time assessment of the collective forecast for the Monastir tennis match. This creates a fluid and responsive pricing system.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by the official outcome of the Monastir tennis match between Ferdinand Livet Novkirichka and Kasra Rahmani, as reported by recognized tennis authorities. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the confirmed outcome of the match.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players might also impact perceptions of their relative strengths. Furthermore, major shifts in public opinion or analysis from tennis experts could drive trading activity. Even seemingly minor developments, if widely discussed, have the potential to move the market as traders react to new information and adjust their forecasts.