TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 4:17 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Farzan Amiri and Lars Schmassmann in the M15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Farzan Amiri' if Farzan Amiri advances against Lars Schmassmann. This market will resolve to 'Lars Schmassmann' if Lars Schmassmann advances against Farzan Amiri. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Farzan Amiri and Lars Schmassmann in the M15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Farzan Amiri' if Farzan Amiri advances against Lars Schmassmann. This market will resolve to 'Lars Schmassmann' if Lars Schmassmann advances against Farzan Amiri. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about the outcome of the Amiri vs Schmassmann match. As more people buy shares indicating a particular outcome, the price of those shares increases, reflecting a higher probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants, constantly adjusting to new information and insights.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Monastir tennis match between Farzan Amiri and Lars Schmassmann, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event result. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding the players’ form, potential injuries, or changes to playing conditions could impact the perceived probability of each outcome. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or significant shifts in public opinion, could also drive price movements. Furthermore, large trades by influential participants on Polymarket can create short-term volatility and potentially signal new information or a change in sentiment regarding the Amiri vs Schmassmann match.