TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 1:59 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Ezequiel Fagotti and Simon Hoffmann in the M15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ezequiel Fagotti' if Ezequiel Fagotti advances against Simon Hoffmann. This market will resolve to 'Simon Hoffmann' if Simon Hoffmann advances against Ezequiel Fagotti. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Ezequiel Fagotti and Simon Hoffmann in the M15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ezequiel Fagotti' if Ezequiel Fagotti advances against Simon Hoffmann. This market will resolve to 'Simon Hoffmann' if Simon Hoffmann advances against Ezequiel Fagotti. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants. The current price indicates what traders, as a group, believe is the likelihood of a specific result in the Fagotti vs Hoffmann match.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Monastir tennis match between Ezequiel Fagotti and Simon Hoffmann. The platform will verify the winner against publicly available results from official tennis sources. The outcome will be determined by which player is officially declared the victor of the match, as recorded by the governing tennis authorities.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected upsets in other matches featuring either player might also impact trader sentiment. Publicly available analysis from tennis experts, or even significant betting activity in traditional sportsbooks, could also serve as catalysts. Overall, any information that alters the perceived probability of either player winning the Fagotti vs Hoffmann match has the potential to move this market.