TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 1:56 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Erkut Aydin and Sebastian Heinrich in the M15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Erkut Aydin' if Erkut Aydin advances against Sebastian Heinrich. This market will resolve to 'Sebastian Heinrich' if Sebastian Heinrich advances against Erkut Aydin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Erkut Aydin and Sebastian Heinrich in the M15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Erkut Aydin' if Erkut Aydin advances against Sebastian Heinrich. This market will resolve to 'Sebastian Heinrich' if Sebastian Heinrich advances against Erkut Aydin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares, the price increases, reflecting a higher perceived chance of success. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is driven entirely by supply and demand, and the platform facilitates this process, allowing traders to express their views and profit from accurate predictions regarding the Aydin vs Heinrich match.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Aydin vs Heinrich match, as reported by the governing body or official tournament organizers. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the winning outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the actual result of the contest.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before Oct 18, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions for either Erkut Aydin or Sebastian Heinrich could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or tactical approaches might also play a role. Furthermore, general shifts in public opinion, fueled by media coverage or expert analysis, can impact the demand for shares in this market, leading to price fluctuations.