TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.2b
24H VOL:
$192,072,993
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,842,388,377
408,027
Markets across
40,419
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,369
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 19, 11:04 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Enrique Carrascosa Diaz and Liviu Popirlan in the M15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Enrique Carrascosa Diaz' if Enrique Carrascosa Diaz advances against Liviu Popirlan. This market will resolve to 'Liviu Popirlan' if Liviu Popirlan advances against Enrique Carrascosa Diaz. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Enrique Carrascosa Diaz and Liviu Popirlan in the M15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Enrique Carrascosa Diaz' if Enrique Carrascosa Diaz advances against Liviu Popirlan. This market will resolve to 'Liviu Popirlan' if Liviu Popirlan advances against Enrique Carrascosa Diaz. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set odds to maximize profit, incorporating a margin for themselves, and may be influenced by public betting patterns. This market, however, is driven by individuals who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome, leading to potentially more efficient pricing. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, analytical approaches, or simply varying levels of conviction among market participants. Examining these differences can reveal insights into where the 'wisdom of the crowd' diverges from professional oddsmakers.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment. The market’s price isn’t determined by a central authority but emerges from the interactions of all participants, creating a dynamic and responsive valuation of the event’s potential results.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Monastir tennis match between Enrique Carrascosa Diaz and Liviu Popirlan, as determined by the official tournament organizers. The platform will verify the outcome against publicly available and reliable sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market prior to Oct 26, 2026. News regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could all significantly shift expectations. Unexpected results in other matches involving either player might also impact the perceived probability of their success. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal new information or a change in sentiment. Monitoring tennis news sources and observing trading patterns on Polymarket will be key to understanding potential market movements leading up to the match's conclusion.