TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 10:43 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Eliakim Coulibaly and John Echeverria in the M15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Eliakim Coulibaly' if Eliakim Coulibaly advances against John Echeverria. This market will resolve to 'John Echeverria' if John Echeverria advances against Eliakim Coulibaly. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Eliakim Coulibaly and John Echeverria in the M15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Eliakim Coulibaly' if Eliakim Coulibaly advances against John Echeverria. This market will resolve to 'John Echeverria' if John Echeverria advances against Eliakim Coulibaly. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If a significant number of people believe a sportsbook is mispricing a player's chances, the prediction market odds will likely move in the opposite direction. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before a lot of money flows into either market, as information asymmetry exists. This can create opportunities for informed traders.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular player, the price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market efficiently incorporates new information as it becomes available, reflecting the collective intelligence of the traders participating. This dynamic pricing allows for a constantly updated assessment of the match’s potential results.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Monastir tennis match between Eliakim Coulibaly and John Echeverria. This includes verifying the winner of the match as declared by the official tournament organizers. The platform will then determine the winning shares and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for confirmation of the final result to understand when the market will be settled.
Several signals could influence this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (like weather impacting an outdoor court), or updates on player form could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected announcements about player strategies or coaching changes might also play a role. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed bettors could indicate new information entering the market, causing a rapid price adjustment. Monitoring tennis news and observing trading activity on Polymarket will be key to understanding potential movements.