TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 9:45 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Eliakim Coulibaly and Aziz Ouakaa in the M15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Eliakim Coulibaly' if Eliakim Coulibaly advances against Aziz Ouakaa. This market will resolve to 'Aziz Ouakaa' if Aziz Ouakaa advances against Eliakim Coulibaly. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Eliakim Coulibaly and Aziz Ouakaa in the M15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Eliakim Coulibaly' if Eliakim Coulibaly advances against Aziz Ouakaa. This market will resolve to 'Aziz Ouakaa' if Aziz Ouakaa advances against Eliakim Coulibaly. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a different set of information and incentives than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while prediction markets aim to represent the true probability of an outcome as assessed by traders. It’s common to see differences between the two, particularly as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Analyzing these discrepancies can sometimes reveal insights into where the crowd believes sportsbooks may be mispricing the event, or where there is strong conviction among prediction market participants.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where users buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts to reflect the collective prediction. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust its assessment of the likely winner of the Monastir tennis match.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Monastir tennis match between Eliakim Coulibaly and Aziz Ouakaa. The platform will verify the winner against publicly available sources to determine the outcome of this market. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the final result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players, or broader trends in tennis performance, could also play a role. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could indicate new information or a change in outlook, causing the market to react accordingly. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding potential price movements in this market.