TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$260,393,102
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,894,304,386
408,643
Markets across
39,771
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,493
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 6:09 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Diogo Coelho and Daniil Varaksa in the M15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Diogo Coelho' if Diogo Coelho advances against Daniil Varaksa. This market will resolve to 'Daniil Varaksa' if Daniil Varaksa advances against Diogo Coelho. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Diogo Coelho and Daniil Varaksa in the M15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Diogo Coelho' if Diogo Coelho advances against Daniil Varaksa. This market will resolve to 'Daniil Varaksa' if Daniil Varaksa advances against Diogo Coelho. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Monastir tennis match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, directly reflecting the implied probability of each player winning. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe a particular outcome will occur, the higher the price of shares representing that outcome will rise. This creates a dynamic pricing system that aggregates information from a wide range of participants.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Diogo Coelho versus Daniil Varaksa tennis match in Monastir. The platform will verify the winner through official tournament results and reporting, ensuring an accurate and transparent resolution process. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the final outcome of the match.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes to playing conditions could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected upsets in other matches leading up to the event might also affect trader sentiment. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal new information or a change in expectations. Monitoring these signals and analyzing the trading patterns on Polymarket will be key to understanding potential movements in this market.