TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 1:50 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Darsh Agarwal and Juan Ignacio Lombisano in the M15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Darsh Agarwal' if Darsh Agarwal advances against Juan Ignacio Lombisano. This market will resolve to 'Juan Ignacio Lombisano' if Juan Ignacio Lombisano advances against Darsh Agarwal. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Darsh Agarwal and Juan Ignacio Lombisano in the M15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Darsh Agarwal' if Darsh Agarwal advances against Juan Ignacio Lombisano. This market will resolve to 'Juan Ignacio Lombisano' if Juan Ignacio Lombisano advances against Darsh Agarwal. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. As more shares are purchased for a specific outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the collective intelligence of the traders on the platform. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market constantly adjusts to new information and changing sentiment surrounding the Monastir tennis match.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Darsh Agarwal versus Juan Ignacio Lombisano tennis match in Monastir. The platform will verify the result against established sports data sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution. The precise details of the outcome verification process are outlined on Polymarket.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players, or broader tournament results, might also impact expectations. Furthermore, significant betting activity or analysis from respected tennis commentators could sway the market. A change in weather conditions at the Monastir venue, or even a shift in public opinion based on social media discussions, could all contribute to price movements in this market.