TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 9:24 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Daniil Varaksa and Ned Smith in the M15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniil Varaksa' if Daniil Varaksa advances against Ned Smith. This market will resolve to 'Ned Smith' if Ned Smith advances against Daniil Varaksa. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Daniil Varaksa and Ned Smith in the M15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniil Varaksa' if Daniil Varaksa advances against Ned Smith. This market will resolve to 'Ned Smith' if Ned Smith advances against Daniil Varaksa. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different outcomes. The price of each share reflects the market’s current assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date collective intelligence regarding the Monastir tennis match. The market’s efficiency is driven by traders seeking to profit from perceived mispricings.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Monastir tennis match between Daniil Varaksa and Ned Smith. Any potential delays in official reporting may affect the exact resolution time, but the platform will strive to settle the market as quickly as possible following official confirmation. Traders should monitor official sources for updates on the match and its final result.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before resolution. News regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even significant shifts in public opinion could all impact the odds. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players might also lead to adjustments in the perceived probabilities. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants could create short-term price movements. Monitoring tennis news and social media sentiment will be key to understanding potential catalysts that could shift this market.