TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
This market refers to the tennis match between Daniil Varaksa and Maksim Tikhomirov in the M15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniil Varaksa' if Daniil Varaksa advances against Maksim Tikhomirov. This market will resolve to 'Maksim Tikhomirov' if Maksim Tikhomirov advances against Daniil Varaksa. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Daniil Varaksa and Maksim Tikhomirov in the M15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniil Varaksa' if Daniil Varaksa advances against Maksim Tikhomirov. This market will resolve to 'Maksim Tikhomirov' if Maksim Tikhomirov advances against Daniil Varaksa. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market relies on individuals freely expressing their beliefs. If sportsbooks initially underestimate or overestimate a player’s chances, the prediction market may converge towards a more accurate probability as more information becomes available and traders adjust their positions. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before a significant amount of trading volume occurs in this market.
This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Monastir tennis match between Daniil Varaksa and Maksim Tikhomirov. The platform will verify the winner according to publicly available and authoritative sources, ensuring a transparent and reliable resolution process. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the final result of this market.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected weather conditions in Monastir, or reports about a player’s physical or mental state leading up to the match, could also cause price movements. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could indicate new information or a shift in sentiment, potentially causing a rapid adjustment in the odds for this market. Keep an eye on tennis news and analysis for potential catalysts.