TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 9:39 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Connor Robb-Wilcox and Ahmed Mouhan in the M15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Connor Robb-Wilcox' if Connor Robb-Wilcox advances against Ahmed Mouhan. This market will resolve to 'Ahmed Mouhan' if Ahmed Mouhan advances against Connor Robb-Wilcox. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Connor Robb-Wilcox and Ahmed Mouhan in the M15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Connor Robb-Wilcox' if Connor Robb-Wilcox advances against Ahmed Mouhan. This market will resolve to 'Ahmed Mouhan' if Ahmed Mouhan advances against Connor Robb-Wilcox. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event's likelihood. The market’s efficiency depends on trader participation and the availability of relevant information.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Monastir tennis match, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to determine which player won and settle the market accordingly. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will receive a payout.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or even broader tennis news, might also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, large trades by influential participants could create short-term price movements, as could any significant shifts in public opinion regarding the players’ chances of winning.