TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 8:13 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Christian Djonov and Kasra Rahmani in the M15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Christian Djonov' if Christian Djonov advances against Kasra Rahmani. This market will resolve to 'Kasra Rahmani' if Kasra Rahmani advances against Christian Djonov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Christian Djonov and Kasra Rahmani in the M15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Christian Djonov' if Christian Djonov advances against Kasra Rahmani. This market will resolve to 'Kasra Rahmani' if Kasra Rahmani advances against Christian Djonov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for profit margins, while this market represents the collective beliefs of traders. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may emerge, where traders can profit by betting on both venues. However, it’s important to remember that prediction markets are forward-looking and can incorporate information not yet reflected in sportsbook lines, such as news about player fitness or changing court conditions.
This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Monastir tennis match, as determined by the tournament organizers. This includes verifying the winner of the match and ensuring the result is publicly available and undisputed. The platform will then finalize the market, and winning shares will be redeemable based on the final outcome.
Several factors could influence this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (like weather affecting an outdoor court), or even significant shifts in public perception could cause the odds to move. Unexpected announcements about player form or tactical changes could also impact trading activity. Major upsets in other matches featuring these players leading up to this event might also shift sentiment, causing traders to reassess their probabilities and adjust their positions accordingly.