TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 11:31 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between CHARLES CHEN and Lilian Marmousez in the M15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'CHARLES CHEN' if CHARLES CHEN advances against Lilian Marmousez. This market will resolve to 'Lilian Marmousez' if Lilian Marmousez advances against CHARLES CHEN. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between CHARLES CHEN and Lilian Marmousez in the M15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'CHARLES CHEN' if CHARLES CHEN advances against Lilian Marmousez. This market will resolve to 'Lilian Marmousez' if Lilian Marmousez advances against CHARLES CHEN. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which are set by professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting patterns and risk management into their pricing, while this market relies on individuals’ independent assessments. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Examining the differences between prediction market probabilities and sportsbook lines can highlight areas where the crowd believes there’s value or mispricing in the traditional betting landscape.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe an outcome is likely, the higher the share price will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the aggregated intelligence of all traders involved, creating a real-time probability assessment for the Monastir tennis match.
This market resolves around Nov 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Monastir tennis match between CHARLES CHEN and Lilian Marmousez, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final match results to understand how this market will be settled.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes to playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players, or broader tournament news, could also impact the market. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal a shift in expectations. Monitoring tennis news sources and observing trading activity on Polymarket will be key to understanding potential market movements leading up to Nov 4, 2026.