TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 1:36 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Carles Hernandez and Kylian Collignon in the M15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Carles Hernandez' if Carles Hernandez advances against Kylian Collignon. This market will resolve to 'Kylian Collignon' if Kylian Collignon advances against Carles Hernandez. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Carles Hernandez and Kylian Collignon in the M15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Carles Hernandez' if Carles Hernandez advances against Kylian Collignon. This market will resolve to 'Kylian Collignon' if Kylian Collignon advances against Carles Hernandez. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, and can sometimes differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on their own models and risk management, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before a significant amount of trading occurs. Comparing the two can offer valuable insights into public perception and potential value opportunities, though it’s not always a direct correlation.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. The market’s depth and volume indicate the level of confidence and agreement among traders regarding the potential result of the Monastir tennis match.
This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Carles Hernandez versus Kylian Collignon match in Monastir. The winner of the match, as officially declared, will determine the winning outcome in this market. Traders will be able to claim their winnings once the result is confirmed and processed by Polymarket.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players, or broader tournament news, might also play a role. Even significant shifts in public opinion, as reflected in social media or sports news, could impact trading activity and cause the odds to move. Monitoring these signals can help traders assess potential opportunities and adjust their positions accordingly.