TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 1:27 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Carles Hernandez and Anas Mazdrashki in the M15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Carles Hernandez' if Carles Hernandez advances against Anas Mazdrashki. This market will resolve to 'Anas Mazdrashki' if Anas Mazdrashki advances against Carles Hernandez. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Carles Hernandez and Anas Mazdrashki in the M15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Carles Hernandez' if Carles Hernandez advances against Anas Mazdrashki. This market will resolve to 'Anas Mazdrashki' if Anas Mazdrashki advances against Carles Hernandez. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on statistical models and their own risk assessment, while this market aggregates insights from individuals with varying levels of expertise. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the same data. It’s common to see prediction markets incorporate information faster than traditional sportsbooks, especially regarding late-breaking news or shifts in public perception surrounding the players involved.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares, the price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price reflects the aggregated sentiment of all participants, creating a dynamic and evolving assessment of the potential result of the Monastir tennis match. This is a forward-looking price, constantly adjusting to new information.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the match between Carles Hernandez and Anas Mazdrashki in Monastir. The platform will rely on widely accepted sources for tennis results to determine the winning outcome. Traders should monitor official tournament websites and sports news outlets for confirmation of the final score. The resolution process aims to provide a transparent and objective determination of the market’s outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market leading up to Oct 27, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or unexpected results in preceding matches could significantly shift trader sentiment. Updates on player form, recent performance statistics, or even weather forecasts affecting the court surface could also play a role. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket itself can create momentum and influence the market price. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding potential price movements.