TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 8, 8:04 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Aziz Ouakaa and Yassine Smiej in the M15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 8, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aziz Ouakaa' if Aziz Ouakaa advances against Yassine Smiej. This market will resolve to 'Yassine Smiej' if Yassine Smiej advances against Aziz Ouakaa. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Aziz Ouakaa and Yassine Smiej in the M15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 8, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aziz Ouakaa' if Aziz Ouakaa advances against Yassine Smiej. This market will resolve to 'Yassine Smiej' if Yassine Smiej advances against Aziz Ouakaa. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect a more accurate forecast than traditional sportsbook odds, as they aggregate the wisdom of the crowd. However, there can be discrepancies due to differing levels of information and market participants. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market is driven purely by belief about the outcome. It's common to see this market odds shift more rapidly in response to new information or breaking news, potentially offering an advantage to informed traders compared to fixed sportsbook lines. Comparing the two can reveal potential value opportunities.
This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Monastir tennis match between Aziz Ouakaa and Yassine Smiej. The platform will verify the result against widely available and trusted sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final result and their shareholdings in the market. It’s important to monitor news sources as the event approaches to stay informed.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or unexpected events impacting either Aziz Ouakaa or Yassine Smiej could significantly shift the odds. Updates on their recent performance in other matches, or even weather forecasts for Monastir, could also play a role. Unexpected retirements or forfeits during the match itself would also immediately resolve the market. Monitoring tennis news and social media for relevant updates is crucial for understanding potential market movements.