TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 30, 9:19 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Aziz Ouakaa and Nicolas Jadoun in the M15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 30, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aziz Ouakaa' if Aziz Ouakaa advances against Nicolas Jadoun. This market will resolve to 'Nicolas Jadoun' if Nicolas Jadoun advances against Aziz Ouakaa. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Aziz Ouakaa and Nicolas Jadoun in the M15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 30, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aziz Ouakaa' if Aziz Ouakaa advances against Nicolas Jadoun. This market will resolve to 'Nicolas Jadoun' if Nicolas Jadoun advances against Aziz Ouakaa. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks, reflecting the wisdom of the crowd rather than a sportsbook’s internal models. Sportsbooks set lines to balance their risk and ensure profit, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs about the probability of each player winning. If a significant number of people believe a player has a higher chance of winning than implied by sportsbook odds, the price in this market will adjust accordingly. This can sometimes lead to more accurate predictions, as the collective intelligence of the market participants is brought to bear.
This market resolves around Nov 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Monastir tennis match between Aziz Ouakaa and Nicolas Jadoun. The player who wins the match, as determined by official tournament results, will be the winning outcome in this market. The platform will verify the result against reliable sources to ensure accuracy and transparency.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes to playing conditions could significantly shift expectations. For example, if one player withdraws from the match due to injury, the odds would likely move dramatically in favor of the remaining player. Unexpected weather conditions or a change in the court surface could also impact the perceived probabilities. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could also cause noticeable price movements in this market.