TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 7:41 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Aziz Ouakaa and Lilian Marmousez in the M15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aziz Ouakaa' if Aziz Ouakaa advances against Lilian Marmousez. This market will resolve to 'Lilian Marmousez' if Lilian Marmousez advances against Aziz Ouakaa. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Aziz Ouakaa and Lilian Marmousez in the M15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aziz Ouakaa' if Aziz Ouakaa advances against Lilian Marmousez. This market will resolve to 'Lilian Marmousez' if Lilian Marmousez advances against Aziz Ouakaa. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often incorporating information and analysis beyond what’s readily available to traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert opinions, this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs, potentially leading to odds that more accurately predict the outcome. It’s common to see differences emerge as new information becomes available or as public sentiment shifts, and these differences can present arbitrage opportunities for informed traders. However, it’s essential to remember that both represent probabilities and are subject to uncertainty.
This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Monastir tennis match between Aziz Ouakaa and Lilian Marmousez. The platform will rely on widely accepted sources to determine the winner, ensuring a transparent and reliable outcome. Traders should monitor official tennis news and results leading up to and following the match to understand how the resolution will be determined. The final result will be used to determine which shares pay out.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly impact the perceived probability of either player winning. Unexpected weather forecasts or reports of a player’s strategic adjustments could also drive movement. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants or shifts in broader tennis betting markets could influence price discovery. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to capitalize on potential opportunities before the market resolves.