TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 7, 8:29 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Aziz Ouakaa and Liam Branger in the M15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aziz Ouakaa' if Aziz Ouakaa advances against Liam Branger. This market will resolve to 'Liam Branger' if Liam Branger advances against Aziz Ouakaa. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Aziz Ouakaa and Liam Branger in the M15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aziz Ouakaa' if Aziz Ouakaa advances against Liam Branger. This market will resolve to 'Liam Branger' if Liam Branger advances against Aziz Ouakaa. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by a small number of professionals, while this market aggregates insights from many individuals. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or risk assessments. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster than sportsbooks in response to new information, as they are continuously updated by traders reacting to developments. Analyzing the difference between these odds can be a valuable exercise for informed decision-making.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Monastir tennis match. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price reflects the aggregated opinions of all participants, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event’s likelihood. The current volume traded indicates the level of interest and conviction surrounding different potential results.
This market resolves around Oct 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Monastir tennis match between Aziz Ouakaa and Liam Branger, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual match winner. Traders holding shares in the correct outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution. The timing of the resolution is dependent on the official publication of the match results.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding the players’ form, injuries, or recent performance could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions at the tournament location, or changes to the match schedule, might also play a role. Publicly available analysis from tennis experts, or shifts in betting odds at sportsbooks, could also prompt traders to adjust their positions. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of either player winning the Monastir tennis match has the potential to move this market.