TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$260,393,102
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,894,304,386
408,643
Markets across
39,771
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,493
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 3:57 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Ashwin Vaithianathan and Andrei Radu in the M15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ashwin Vaithianathan' if Ashwin Vaithianathan advances against Andrei Radu. This market will resolve to 'Andrei Radu' if Andrei Radu advances against Ashwin Vaithianathan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Ashwin Vaithianathan and Andrei Radu in the M15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ashwin Vaithianathan' if Ashwin Vaithianathan advances against Andrei Radu. This market will resolve to 'Andrei Radu' if Andrei Radu advances against Ashwin Vaithianathan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, and can sometimes differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set their lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially early on, as prediction markets can quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities. Comparing the two can offer a broader perspective on the likely outcome of the Monastir tennis match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price reflects the aggregated sentiment of all participants, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event’s probability. This allows traders to express their views and profit if their predictions are accurate.
This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Monastir tennis match between Ashwin Vaithianathan and Andrei Radu. The platform will verify the result against established sports data sources to determine which outcome is the winner. Traders holding shares in the correct outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updated rankings could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected performance in earlier rounds of the tournament, or even comments from analysts, could also impact the probabilities. Furthermore, significant trading volume from informed participants could signal a change in expectations, causing the market to react accordingly. Monitoring these signals can help you understand potential shifts in the market’s prediction for the Monastir tennis match.