TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 11:28 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Andrea Colombo and Luca Wiedenmann in the M15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Andrea Colombo' if Andrea Colombo advances against Luca Wiedenmann. This market will resolve to 'Luca Wiedenmann' if Luca Wiedenmann advances against Andrea Colombo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Andrea Colombo and Luca Wiedenmann in the M15 Monastir, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Andrea Colombo' if Andrea Colombo advances against Luca Wiedenmann. This market will resolve to 'Luca Wiedenmann' if Luca Wiedenmann advances against Andrea Colombo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or when public opinion strongly favors one outcome. Analyzing these differences can be a valuable exercise for informed decision-making, but remember that neither is guaranteed to be correct.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where shares representing each possible outcome are bought and sold. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants, offering a unique view on the potential result of the Monastir tennis match.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on the official result of the match between Andrea Colombo and Luca Wiedenmann as declared by the official tournament organizers. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to determine which shares will pay out. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. News regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could all have an impact. Unexpected upsets in earlier rounds of the tournament, or even general shifts in public sentiment, could also move the market. Any significant information related to the players or the match itself has the potential to alter traders' perceptions and, consequently, the prices of shares in this market.