TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 5:08 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Andrea Bacaloni and Darsh Agarwal in the M15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Andrea Bacaloni' if Andrea Bacaloni advances against Darsh Agarwal. This market will resolve to 'Darsh Agarwal' if Darsh Agarwal advances against Andrea Bacaloni. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Andrea Bacaloni and Darsh Agarwal in the M15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Andrea Bacaloni' if Andrea Bacaloni advances against Darsh Agarwal. This market will resolve to 'Darsh Agarwal' if Darsh Agarwal advances against Andrea Bacaloni. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Monastir tennis match. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of each player winning. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price fluctuates based on supply and demand; if more traders believe Andrea Bacaloni will win, the price of shares representing that outcome will increase, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the latest information and collective intelligence.
This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Monastir tennis match between Andrea Bacaloni and Darsh Agarwal, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The player who wins the match will determine the winning outcome in this market. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the Nov 8, 2026 resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player strategies or coaching changes might also cause movement. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed individuals could indicate a shift in expectations, prompting others to adjust their positions and impacting the overall price of shares in this market.