TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 4:49 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Alvaro Peiro Serrano and David Petrovic in the M15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alvaro Peiro Serrano' if Alvaro Peiro Serrano advances against David Petrovic. This market will resolve to 'David Petrovic' if David Petrovic advances against Alvaro Peiro Serrano. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Alvaro Peiro Serrano and David Petrovic in the M15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alvaro Peiro Serrano' if Alvaro Peiro Serrano advances against David Petrovic. This market will resolve to 'David Petrovic' if David Petrovic advances against Alvaro Peiro Serrano. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Monastir tennis match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective forecast of all participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current implied probability of a particular outcome is derived from the share price, with higher prices indicating greater confidence in that outcome. This creates a dynamic pricing system that adapts to new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Monastir tennis match, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly impact the perceived probability of each player winning the Monastir tennis match. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players, or even general shifts in public opinion, could also drive price movements. Monitoring tennis news and social media sentiment can provide insights into potential catalysts that might affect this market before it resolves.