TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 19, 12:42 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Alvaro Peiro Serrano and Daniil Varaksa in the M15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alvaro Peiro Serrano' if Alvaro Peiro Serrano advances against Daniil Varaksa. This market will resolve to 'Daniil Varaksa' if Daniil Varaksa advances against Alvaro Peiro Serrano. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Alvaro Peiro Serrano and Daniil Varaksa in the M15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alvaro Peiro Serrano' if Alvaro Peiro Serrano advances against Daniil Varaksa. This market will resolve to 'Daniil Varaksa' if Daniil Varaksa advances against Alvaro Peiro Serrano. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of those actively trading, providing a real-time assessment of the likely result of the Monastir tennis match.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Alvaro Peiro Serrano vs Daniil Varaksa tennis match in Monastir. This includes verifying the match's completion and the final score as reported by official tournament organizers and widely recognized sports news sources. The platform will rely on publicly available information to determine the winning outcome and distribute funds accordingly.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or unexpected performance in preceding matches could significantly impact trader sentiment. Updates on player form, head-to-head records, or even weather forecasts affecting the match could also drive price movements. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants or shifts in broader tennis betting markets could also cause noticeable changes in the probabilities reflected by this market.