TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 1:43 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Alvaro Peiro Serrano and Charles Begg-Smith in the M15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alvaro Peiro Serrano' if Alvaro Peiro Serrano advances against Charles Begg-Smith. This market will resolve to 'Charles Begg-Smith' if Charles Begg-Smith advances against Alvaro Peiro Serrano. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Alvaro Peiro Serrano and Charles Begg-Smith in the M15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alvaro Peiro Serrano' if Alvaro Peiro Serrano advances against Charles Begg-Smith. This market will resolve to 'Charles Begg-Smith' if Charles Begg-Smith advances against Alvaro Peiro Serrano. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of a particular outcome. As more shares are purchased for one outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher perceived likelihood of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome, allowing traders to express their views and profit if their predictions prove accurate. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Monastir tennis match between Alvaro Peiro Serrano and Charles Begg-Smith. Specifically, the market will determine which player won the match, as declared by the official tournament organizers. The outcome will be determined by the official results, and any disputes will be resolved based on widely accepted tennis scoring rules and procedures.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before Oct 18, 2026. News regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even significant shifts in public perception could all impact the odds. Unexpected announcements about a player's form or fitness, or even weather forecasts affecting the match schedule, could trigger increased trading volume and price fluctuations. Any information that alters the perceived probability of either player winning is likely to move this market, as traders adjust their positions accordingly.