TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 19, 8:35 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Alessandro Maina and Erkut Aydin in the M15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alessandro Maina' if Alessandro Maina advances against Erkut Aydin. This market will resolve to 'Erkut Aydin' if Erkut Aydin advances against Alessandro Maina. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Alessandro Maina and Erkut Aydin in the M15 Monastir, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alessandro Maina' if Alessandro Maina advances against Erkut Aydin. This market will resolve to 'Erkut Aydin' if Erkut Aydin advances against Alessandro Maina. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Maina vs Aydin match. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and share their insights, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event's likelihood. This dynamic pricing ensures the market remains responsive to new information and evolving sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Monastir match between Alessandro Maina and Erkut Aydin. The platform will rely on widely available and trusted sources to determine the winner, ensuring a fair and transparent resolution process for all participants in this market.
Several signals could significantly move this market before Oct 26, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in form, or tactical adjustments could influence trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about match conditions or even pre-match interviews offering insights into player strategies could also have an impact. Furthermore, large volume trades from informed participants could quickly shift the odds, reflecting new information or a change in overall market perception regarding the Maina vs Aydin match.